Showing posts with label banks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label banks. Show all posts


Ron Paul: No More Bailouts! Banks Should Be Allowed to Fail…





by Ron Paul

Supply and Demand - Free Enterprise

French businessman and economist Jean-Baptiste Say is credited with identifying the fundamental economic principle that aggregate demand for goods in an economy will equal the aggregate supply of goods when markets are permitted to operate. Or in Say’s words, “products are paid for with products.”

English classical economist David Ricardo, among others, more fully developed this principle into what has become known as “Say’s Law.” Say’s Law, according to Ricardo, leads us to understand that market equilibrium for goods is constant. This simply means that markets, when left alone by government planners or other fraudulent actors, inexorably tend toward an “equilibrium price” which eventually balances supply and demand for any particular good. Thus markets will clear themselves of any surpluses or shortages in the form of excess supply and demand.

This important corollary of Say’s Law– that markets clear– is critical to understanding the moribund US housing market. In housing, perhaps more than any other good, we see the terrible consequences of government and central bank interference with market forces.

Increase The Money Supply

First, the Federal Reserve Bank relentlessly increased the money supply over the last few decades. Much of this newly created money and credit flowed from Fed member banks into the residential and commercial real estate markets, causing prices to rise dramatically prior to the housing bust of 2007.

At the same time, the Fed systematically suppressed interest rates for decades. This led to tremendous malinvestment both by homebuilders and individuals, and encouraged a seedy subprime mortgage industry to make nonviable loans that would not make economic sense under market interest rates.


Give Credit to Whom Credit is Due!

Congressional meddling in the mortgage market also added tremendously to the problem. Inane legislation like The Community Reinvestment Act literally forced banks to make thousands of loans to bad credit risks. Similarly, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac put taxpayers on the hook for millions of mortgages that never would meet market underwriting criteria. And of course the real estate and homebuilder lobbies made sure mortgage interest debt (unlike most personal debt) remains tax-deductible.

The ultimate result of these interventions by our caring friends in Congress and the Fed has been the biggest housing bubble and crash in US history, leaving millions of Americans underwater on their mortgages if they have not already lost their houses altogether. Congress and the Fed are directly responsible for millions of shattered lives, and almost unknowable economic damage in the form of trillions of dollars in mortgage backed securities.


Banks will Close Their Doors

The only solution to this mess is to allow the US housing market to clear. All of the bad mortgage debt must be liquidated, whether via foreclosure or bankruptcy. Banks holding substantial mortgages or mortgage backed assets must face the music and adjust their balance sheets to reflect today’s reality. Undoubtedly this will force many banks into immediate insolvency, but such banks must be allowed to fail without receiving another nickel of taxpayer money. Banks took the risks and made money during the bubble years; those who exercised bad judgment must now accept the consequences of their actions.

Never in American history have we needed to adopt a policy of laissez faire more desperately; never has government seemed more determined to artificially prop up an industry. But only by allowing the housing market to clear can we hope to rebuild our shattered economy from a stable foundation. Clearly there will be pain in the short term, but we owe it to younger Americans and future generations to allow the reemergence of a rational housing market.

Original source of articel from: http://www.ronpaul.com/2012-10-29/ron-paul-no-more-bailouts-banks-should-be-allowed-to-fail/

Find out what the ultra rich are doing to hedge themselves against economic collapse.

What Happens to the “Bank of You” if the Dollar Fails?

http://theelevationgroup.net/presentation/register.php?a_aid=36cc7d72&a_bid=e6b01db8&chan=gec


The “Bank of You” is one of the most popular...and successful strategies that Elevation Group members have been using to secure their financial future.

But there are also some concerns about how the “Bank of You” will hold up if we have another 2008-like economic crisis...or worse.

Here’s a great question from an EVG member about what will happen if the US Dollar tanks:

Regarding the Bank of You, Paul Haarman said it takes around 5-7 years to break even, and after that is when things start to take off. But the Lesson #2 video was made back in 2010. So at this point in time, with our fiat currency heading ever more towards to the brink, is it advisable for anyone to start investing in the Bank of You? Will the US Dollar even be around in another 5-7 years? Thanks in advance for your help on this question.

Mary D.Paul is the EVG expert on the “Bank of You,” and he says he gets this question a lot.

But his answer is a little more complex than a simple “yes” or “no.”

Here’s why:



Everyone’s Concept of Financial Collapse is Different


When some people think of financial collapse, they envision total mayhem...

A kind of post-nuclear holocaust where everyone wanders around aimlessly...

Abandoned ghost-town cities. Smoking piles of debris littering the landscape...

People clad in dirty rags ... picking their way through heaps of junk for a morsel of food.

Is that how you see it?

If so, then realize that no investment will thrive in that reality.

Not even gold.

In that scenario, mere survival will be the only thing that matters.

But that is NOT how Paul envisions the coming financial collapse.

Why?

Well, none of the biggest financial collapses in our world’s recent (or past) history have ever looked like that.

Yes, there is always a temporary chaos as wealth transfers hands.

And yes, there are tough times for the masses ... sometimes for extended periods of time.

But in the end, a new order is always established ... and in the event of a currency collapse, a NEW currency is always formed.

Like it or not, we will most likely have to live with some form of fiat currency during our lifetime.

So even if the present form of your country’s currency collapses, there will be a new currency that takes its place.

At that point you’ll get something in exchange for your old money.

But that’s assuming a total financial collapse.

Paul feels it’s more likely that we’ll get high inflation rather than total collapse. In that case...



Interest Rates Will Move Up With Inflation


The second thing to remember is that interest rates and inflation generally go up in lock-step.

So if we start seeing 10% annual inflation, the interest rate you earn in your Bank of You will also go up.

Some readers may remember the high inflation of the late 1970’s into the early 1980’s.

Back then you could earn 17% on a one–year Certificate of Deposit (CD).

Right now, inflation is at 2.5% and you can earn around 10% in a Bank of You.

That’s a 7% spread.

Once inflation hits 10%, you should easily be able to earn up to 17% in your “Bank of You.”

Which brings us to the final point...



The “Bank of You” Protects You During Inflation or Deflation


A properly set up “Bank of You” will protect you from future high inflation...

...but it can also save you if we get deflation.

We’ve already seen how deflation could be part of our future in a recent newsletter.

Most investments work well only in one scenario or the other. Either in deflation or inflation.

In fact, many investments will completely crash if used in the wrong situation.

Not the “Bank of You.”

Properly set up, a “Bank of You” steadily increases your wealth during either scenario.

It works that way because it has the income-producing abilities of an inflation hedge, and the cash-like qualities of a deflation hedge.



Final Thoughts


No one can say with 100% certainty what the future holds.

Will there be high inflation? All signs point to that.

Will there be deflation? At least one realistic scenario exists where that could be our fate.

With most investments, you have to make an educated guess which scenario is coming.

At EVG, we’re betting more heavily on the inflation side.

But with a “Bank of You,” you’ll be protected either way.

It won’t matter if the US Dollar tanks ... or even disappears.

Frankly, you’ll never get the timing of any investment absolutely perfect.

What’s more important is understanding the Wealth Cycle we are in and how that will affect your long-term investment goals.

Once you are convinced in your own mind that a particular investment makes sense, the final step is actually committing to it...pulling the trigger and making the investment.

Now is a good time to review Lesson 1 on wealth cycles and Lesson 2 on the Bank of You.

If you have specific questions about setting up your own “Bank of You,” give Paul a call.

As a member, you have access to his contact information on the Resource Page in the members area.






This article is reprinted courtesy of The Elevation Group. To find out more, please visit their website at:http://theelevationgroup.com
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